TWO teams desperate for a response will round off Matchday 8 in the Premier League as Manchester United travel to St James Park to face Steve Bruce’s Newcastle.
If there’s one thing we’ve said time and again to members and on the podcast it’s this; Manchester United after Europa League football are fade material.
Ole Gunnar Solksjaer’s squad simply doesn’t have the depth to handle the demands of European football and heading away in the league after a trip to Holland on Friday is a tough ask for a side that can’t find any consistency on the pitch.
Newcastle are coming off a 5-0 humiliation away at Leicester last time out but they’ve been far more resolute at home to start the season.
The Toon own a 1.04xG on their home turf this campaign and have recorded a 1.16xGA. Their tight-knit defence will frustrate a United side that struggle to break down teams that play with the ball in front of them.
There will be very little space for the visitors to get into behind the lines and that’s a recipe for a frustrating night for the Red Devils as a result.
Solksjaer’s men have scored just twice in their three away games in the league this season, recording a sub-par 1.18xG return – that number also boosted by the fact they’ve had a penalty awarded in that period as well. Their last away game after a European fixture saw them go down 2-0 away at West Ham.
Betting on Newcastle is never easy, but grabbing a team +0.5 at home to this Manchester United side, who are still decimated by injuries, seems far too inviting to pass up. Our data had this priced at $1.81 so we’re getting a nice edge to go with our strong situational advantage.
Tip: Newcastle +0.5 @ $1.91 (Betfair)